Appendix 2.07B - Standards of Probability
 
 
    
        
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             Factor 
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             Impact on Investigations 
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             Lack of Direct Evidence 
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             A finding can still be made if credible witness testimony or circumstantial evidence supports the claim 
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             Conflicting Accounts 
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             The investigator must weigh the credibility of each statement and consider supporting evidence (e.g., witness consistency, video footage). 
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             No On-Ice Official Heard the Incident 
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             The case is not automatically dismissed—instead, other forms of evidence (LiveBarn footage, player reactions, past behaviour) are considered. 
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             Prior History of the Respondent 
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             If the respondent has a documented history of similar conduct, this may be factored into credibility assessments 
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             Emotional Impact on the Victim 
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             A strong emotional response (e.g., distress, withdrawal from play) may support credibility but is not proof on its own. 
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             Respondent’s Explanation 
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             If the respondent provides a plausible explanation with supporting evidence, it may reduce the likelihood that the incident occurred as alleged. 
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             Corroboration from Teammates/Opposing Players 
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             If multiple individuals confirm the allegation without bias or coaching, it increases the probability that it occurred. 
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             Lack of Witnesses 
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             If no witnesses support the complaint, the decision will depend on the totality of other evidence. 
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